Peter Russell

The UK is in ‘pole position’ for market recovery despite gloomy economic outlook, UBS says

U.K. GDP saw its sharpest contraction since 1979 in the first quarter, and the balance-of-trade deficit widened to £21.1 billion ($26.4 billion).
U.K. stocks currently trade at a 19% discount to the MSCI World index, versus an average of 7% since 2002, UBS strategists pointed out in a research note Wednesday.
S&P Global has cut its forecast for U.K. GDP in 2020 to an 8.1% contraction, warning of a “perfect storm” if Britain suffers a second wave of coronavirus infections and fails to negotiate a post-Brexit free trade agreement.

WHO calls for more ‘systematic, exhaustive investigation’ on clusters in response to Beijing outbreak

Officials in China’s capital city reported a total of 79 confirmed cases of Covid-19 since June 11.
“The answers lie in careful, systematic, exhaustive investigation of disease clusters to really look at what is happening in these situations and what is causing the amplification of the disease in the human context,” said the WHO’s Dr. Mike Ryan.
As many countries around the world grapple with a resurgence of new Covid-19 cases, Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove said, health officials need to be on alert.

Bullish options traders bet on big payout when Visa reports earnings

The busiest week of earnings season rolls on when Visa reports after the bell Tuesday, and options traders are betting on a big payoff when the payment giant’s results cross the wire.

The Dow component’s shares are up nearly 6% on the year thanks to a 35% bounce off the March lows, paving the way for what traders believe will be an earnings report that surprises to the upside.

Goldman’s top stock picker is bullish on tech and bearish on energy

David Kostin said in a research note dated Friday that analysts at Goldman had been reflecting on a “remarkable” rally during the last three months.
“Most institutional investors have been stunned by the juxtaposition of the sharpest GDP contraction on record with a 36% market rally, as have we,” Kostin said.
“But, the combination of incremental data improvement and extraordinary policy support has been sufficient to assure the forward-looking market that the earnings damage resulting from the virus will ultimately be short-lived,” he added.